34.Metternich,AusMetternichsnachgelassenenPapieren,1:33,8:184.
35.AlgernonCecil,Metternich,1773–1859(London:EyreandSpottiswood,1947),52.
36.Metternich,AusMetternichsnachgelassenenPapieren,1:334.
37.BriefwechseldesGeneralsLeopoldvonGerlachmitdemBundestags-GesandtenOttovonBismarck(Berlin,1893),334.
38.Ibid.(February20,1854),130.
39.HorstKohl,DiepolitischenRedendesFurstenBismarck(Stuttgart,1892),264.
40.Bismarck,DiegesammeltenWerke(November14,1833),vol.14,nos.1,3.
41.Ibid.(September29,1851),1:62.
42.SpeechofFebruary9,1871,inHansard,ParliamentaryDebates,ser.3,vol.204(February–March1871),82.
43.与此形成鲜明对照的是，为普鲁士赢得统一德国的战争的战略家老毛奇当时曾计划在两条战线上采取守势。
44.Forstimulatingaccountsofthesedevelopments,seeChristopherClark,TheSleepwalkers:HowEuropeWenttoWarin1914(NewYork:HarperCollins,2013)andMargaretMacMillan,TheWarThatEndedPeace:TheRoadto1914(NewYork:RandomHouse,2013).
45.SeeJohnMaynardKeynes,TheEconomicConsequencesofthePeace(NewYork:Macmillan,1920),Chapter5.
46.SeeChapters6and7.
第三章伊斯兰主义和中东：世界乱局
1.AddaB.Bozeman,Iran:U.S.ForeignPolicyandtheTraditionofPersianStatecraft,Orbis23,no.2(Summer1979):397.
2.SeeHughKennedy,TheGreatArabConquests:HowtheSpreadofIslamChangedtheWorldWeLiveIn(London:Weidenfeld&Nicholson,2007),34–40.